In consideration of the escalating global tensions and the growing importance of technology as a strategic measure, it is imperative for India to effectively harness both its geopolitical flexibility and technological aspirations in order to influence the forthcoming narrative, rather than merely adapting to it.
The upcoming power shifts will pivot on technological innovations rather than traditional trade agreements or territorial disputes. The future dynamics will be shaped by advancements in semiconductor chips, software code, and cybersecurity measures and more.
The convergence of the world’s two largest elements of influence – geopolitics and technology, is increasingly significant. The U.S.-China rivalry has evolved far beyond issues like tariffs or Taiwan; it now revolves around determining the dominant force in areas such as AI, semiconductors, quantum technology, and space exploration. Each action taken, whether it’s an export ban, a satellite launch, or the implementation of data regulations, serves as a strategic geopolitical statement in this high-stakes competition.
In the contemporary global landscape, there exists a new form of conflict often referred to as the digital cold war. A significant event that unfolded in 2024 was the United States’ decision to prohibit the use of Chinese connected car technology. This action led to a retaliatory move from China, where they openly released their artificial intelligence models to contest the prevailing Western supremacy in the field. It is crucial to note that the battlefield in this modern era of conflict is not defined by physical borders but by the intricate interplay of algorithms and technological advancements.
Tech is no longer just an industry; it has evolved into essential infrastructure that plays a critical role in shaping various aspects of our lives. India’s Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI), encompassing services ranging from Aadhaar to UPI, has transcended national boundaries to become a significant soft power export.
Despite India’s $10 billion incentive scheme successfully attracting major players in the semiconductor industry like Micron, AMD, and Tower Semiconductor, the establishment of fabs remains a time-intensive endeavor. However, India can strategically focus on dominating chip design, intellectual property (IP) creation, and nurturing talent.
Cybersecurity is a pressing concern in India. Emerging threats such as AI-powered malware, ransomware, and supply chain attacks are on the rise.
Geopolitics has evolved beyond traditional diplomacy into a realm where data plays a crucial role. India’s implementation of data localisation laws, its approach towards cross-border data flows, and its emphasis on developing indigenous cloud infrastructure demonstrate strategic moves with geopolitical implications. The underlying premise is clear: whoever controls the data also controls the narrative.
India’s presence in space is gaining momentum, evident through increasing commercial launches by the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO). India’s progression must advance from being a mere launchpad to assuming a leadership role in the space domain.
The field of quantum computing represents another frontier where India is making significant strides. The National Quantum Mission, initiated in 2023 with funding amounting to ₹6,000 crore, targets the development of 50–100 qubit systems by 2026.
India is currently making its point very clear. The pathway involves becoming a tech leader that no more relies on Western platforms and Chinese hardware. India chooses to assert itself as a tech powerhouse by developing its own systems, influencing global standards, and sharing its expertise in digital governance.
Moreover, India is no more a mere geopolitical pawn, reacting to external changes, rather it is emerging as a significant player that actively shapes international regulations. These two key tools are now at India’s disposal – geopolitics and technology.
Devendra Kumar
Editor
